In the Indian River Lagoon of 20 years ago, could hook a spotted seatrout on cast after cast. Lush seagrass meadows teemed with schools of fish, among them world-record-sized seatrout and bull redfish upwards of 50 inches, making the lagoon a top destination for anglers.
But today, the lagoon鈥檚 seatrout numbers are 90 to 95% below historic levels, Rotne estimated. The species, an indicator of water quality, has dwindled in the wake of a decade-long series of severe algal blooms.
Nutrient pollutants in wastewater and stormwater supercharge these blooms, which block sunlight from reaching seagrass, killing fish habitat. About 75% of the lagoon鈥檚 seagrass acreage has vanished since 2011, with a near-total loss in some areas, experts say.
Seagrasses are ecosystem engineers, organisms that radically shape their surroundings. They anchor the seafloor, slow wave action, store carbon, and house other organisms. can support 50 million invertebrates and 40,000 fish.
鈥淚t鈥檚 just been a real tragedy to see the loss of the seagrass, the loss of the water clarity, and the subsequent loss of the fish,鈥� Rotne said.
The lagoon鈥檚 ailments shot into the national spotlight amid 2021鈥檚 record . Many manatees starved in the absence of seagrass, their dietary staple.
This year has seen a brief respite from the massive blooms that have come to characterize the Indian River Lagoon, a system of three lagoons that stretches along 156 miles of Florida鈥檚 Atlantic Coast. Drier conditions have tempered nutrient-carrying runoff, keeping blooms small, patchy, and short-lived.
With improved water clarity, some seagrass has returned. It鈥檚 a hopeful sign, but these gains could easily disappear, Rotne said.
鈥淚t鈥檚 a little too hasty to go, 鈥極h, the glory days of the lagoon are back,鈥欌�� Rotne said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 important that everybody remembers that just because we see some seagrass returning, just because we see moderate improvements, that the lagoon is still very fragile.鈥�
"We鈥檙e about halfway home."Chuck Jacoby, St. Johns River Water Management District
Some of the lagoon鈥檚 recent rebound may have been erased as Hurricane Ian delivered to parts of coastal Central Florida. The deluge sent nutrients coursing to the lagoon and triggered wastewater spills and stormwater overflows. Fishing the Vero Beach area in the weeks following the storm, saw that once-clear water had been replaced with what looked like chocolate milk.
鈥淚t actually smelled like raw sewage in some areas,鈥� Fafeita said.
Ian offered a grim reminder that the Indian River Lagoon鈥檚 route to recovery will continue to be long, difficult, and expensive. Scientists estimate seagrass could take to regain its previous foothold, even under the best circumstances.
But natural resource managers working to slow the influx of algae-feeding nutrients, such as nitrogen and phosphorus, say restoration remains attainable.
The take-home message is 鈥渟tay the course,鈥� , an environmental scientist with the St. Johns River Water Management District, said at the in April. 鈥淲e鈥檙e about halfway home.鈥�
A Microscopic Coup
Historically, seagrasses were the Indian River Lagoon鈥檚 foundational organisms, powering what was once North America鈥檚 most biodiverse estuary. But in 2011, another group of life forms began to define how the waterway worked.
That March, out-of-control numbers of two types of algae combined to create a 鈥渟uperbloom鈥� that spanned an estimated across the lagoon 鈥� larger than the footprint of the city of Tampa. Concentrations of chlorophyll-a, a pigment that scientists use to measure bloom intensity, were in some areas. The bloom lasted for seven months.
Blooms are a normal part of the lagoon鈥檚 cycle, but not at this magnitude.
鈥淚n vast areas, there wasn鈥檛 a lot of light getting down to the bottom for seagrasses to survive,鈥� said , an expert in algal biology and ecology at the University of Florida. Phlips has been studying the Indian River Lagoon since 1997. Still, the scale and duration of the 2011 bloom took him by surprise. 鈥淚 realized at that point, I didn鈥檛 really understand the system as well as I thought.鈥�
The superbloom was followed by others even more severe. Without enough sunlight, the lagoon鈥檚 80,000 acres of seagrass gradually shrank to about 20,000, according to a 2021 survey by SJRWMD.
In 2021, Phlips and his collaborators published a based on 23 years鈥� worth of data on the lagoon鈥檚 water quality, light levels, nutrient levels, water circulation, and other properties 鈥� a full body scan of its health. The data tell a story of two starkly different lagoons: one before 2011 and one afterwards. 2011 ushered in what the scientists call a 鈥渞egime shift,鈥� a dramatic change in the ecosystem鈥檚 structure and function.
Algae play a key role in the lagoon鈥檚 food web, and before 2011, researchers had mapped a of blooms typically appearing in summer and amplified by heavier rainfall, such as in El Ni帽o years.
These new blooms, however, are far more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting than those of the past. They also tend to be dominated by a different set of algal species. Many of these species are smaller than their predecessors, allowing them to reproduce faster. And some, including the algae that causes the phenomenon known as 鈥渂rown tide,鈥� have a coating that provides a natural defense against would-be predators, making them harder to control, Jacoby said.
Some of these new bloom-dominators are also more cold-tolerant, leading to a broadening of bloom seasonality. Now, blooms can break out in winter and spring, overlapping with the peak period of growth for seagrass. The warmer temperatures brought by climate change also prolong blooms鈥� growing season.
鈥淯ntil this last year and a half, we were typically facing blooms almost every year,鈥� Phlips said. 鈥淭hat meant it was impossible for seagrass to recover.鈥�
A Long, Slow Build-Up
The Indian River Lagoon鈥檚 water quality crisis is not the result of a sudden shift in the system, but the culmination of a long, slow build-up. Coastal development along the lagoon has been consistent since the 1950s. For decades, the state鈥檚 infrastructure has provided pathways for nutrients from wastewater treatment plants, septic tanks, landscape fertilizers, and agricultural operations to speed into the lagoon.
Natural resource managers had nutrient pollutants on their radar by the 1990s, long before the 2011 superbloom. In response, they developed plans to reduce flows of nitrogen and phosphorus to the lagoon. But decades of what managers call 鈥渓egacy loading鈥� had built up in the waterway over time, priming it for collapse when stressed.
Initially, the 2011 superbloom may have been triggered by natural causes, including the unusual cold of the previous two winters, Phlips said.
Water temperatures then dropped to about 40 degrees Fahrenheit, roughly 20 degrees below their typical low. Fish, seagrass, and drifting macroalgae began to die, releasing nutrients as they decomposed. As the water warmed, muck on the lagoon bed 鈥� the product of legacy loading 鈥� released additional nitrogen and phosphorus.
In the absence of competitors, tiny algae could feast on this sudden surge of nutrients and multiply unchecked.
Under normal circumstances, the lagoon may have been able to rebound from such a bloom on its own. But its diminished health locked it into a negative feedback loop. Without the anchoring support of seagrass, sediments swirled freely in the water, making it more difficult for grass to re-establish a foothold.
鈥淸Algae] have always been important,鈥� Phlips said, 鈥渂ut now they鈥檙e taking up most of the light and most of the nutrients.鈥�
鈥楽lowing the Loading鈥�
Natural resource managers are taking a region-wide, multipronged approach to reduce nutrient levels in the lagoon. Brevard County鈥檚 program is estimated to bring in up to $489 million over 10 years to fund projects to reduce or remove about 1.3 million pounds of nitrogen and 105,000 pounds of phosphorus annually. The funding comes from a half-cent county sales tax that started in 2016.
These projects include dredging muck, upgrading septic tanks and connecting them to sewage systems, repairing leaks in pipelines, and slowing the flow of stormwater using techniques such as baffle boxes and permeable pavers.
Thus far, completed projects have moved the county 12.5% closer to its targeted nitrogen and phosphorus reductions, said , director of Brevard County鈥檚 natural resources management department.
鈥淲e鈥檙e 25 to 50% of the way towards getting the water clear enough that we might expect seagrass to be able to survive most years,鈥� Barker said in an email.
Some say it鈥檚 not enough. While Rotne applauds the program鈥檚 focus on converting septic to sewer, he said Brevard also needs to upgrade its wastewater treatment systems to avoid the spills that can happen when outdated infrastructure faces a surge of rainfall. During Hurricane Ian, the county released of wastewater into the lagoon.
It鈥檚 not just about costs; it鈥檚 about value. DUANE DE FREESE, INDIAN RIVER LAGOON NATIONAL ESTUARY PROGRAM
鈥淲hen they get large influxes of stormwater, the systems are not capable of handling that, and they have to literally release the water,鈥� Rotne said. 鈥淥ftentimes these sewage treatment plants are built right on the side of the lagoon.鈥�
Brevard County鈥檚 program joins $70 million in state investments dedicated to the lagoon鈥檚 health, according to Ashley Evitt, SJRWMD鈥檚 media outreach manager. And in 2021, the Army Corps of Engineers debuted a for managing outflowing freshwater from Lake Okeechobee. The plan is projected to divert of the lake鈥檚 nutrient-rich water during the rainy season away from the St. Lucie Estuary and the southern Indian River Lagoon where it causes . Instead, the water will flow south to the Everglades, mimicking its historic pathway.
But restoration will not come cheaply. Speaking at April鈥檚 symposium, , executive director of the , said resurrecting the lagoon may cost upwards of $5 billion.
De Freese added, however, that a 2016 by the Treasure Coast Regional Planning Council equated in the lagoon to a return of $33. The lagoon contributes an estimated to Florida鈥檚 economy annually.
鈥淭hat鈥檚 a good deal,鈥� De Freese said, 鈥渁nd that鈥檚 the story we need to tell when we start talking about the cost. It鈥檚 not just about costs; it鈥檚 about value. If we have resolve, if we have political will, then this is a doable project.鈥�
Jacoby likens reductions in nutrients to putting the Indian River Lagoon on a diet. Restoring salt marshes and filter-feeders, such as oysters and clams, is a form of physical therapy. And monitoring the lagoon鈥檚 recovery and adjusting actions as needed is like giving the waterway regular checkups and preventative care.
鈥淭he key focus is on slowing the loading,鈥� Jacoby said. 鈥淣ot all algal blooms are bad. Algal blooms are part of the system. When our actions exacerbate those blooms 鈥� make them last longer, make them more intense, make them more widespread 鈥� that鈥檚 when we have issues.鈥�
This story was produced in partnership with the Florida Climate Reporting Network, a multi-newsroom initiative formed to cover the impacts of climate change in the state.
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